Jump to content

Create a Free Account or Sign In to connect and share in green living and alternative energy forum discussions.

Sealevel rise: How much, how fast? Maybe a lot, maybe fast.


 
3 replies to this topic

#1 still learning

still learning

    Activist

  • Veteran Shifter
  • 886 posts 162 rep

Posted 18 August 2013 - 09:07 AM

Sealevel rise is a consequence of global warming.  Has been in the geologic past and is expected to be in the future.  Most of the numbers you see refer to estimates of the rise by the year 2100 and some estimates aren't too alarming.  Some recent geologic work has shown that there has been at least one fast rise:  "confident that the 17-foot jump happened in less than a thousand years — how much less, he cannot be sure."  (at http://www.nytimes.c...level.html?_r=2& )  See also : http://www.realclima...sea-level-rise/    Less than a thousand years, but how much less?  Can't tell.  Could be a little less.  Could be way less.  "babies being born now could live to see the early stages of a global calamity."

#2 Shortpoet-GTD

Shortpoet-GTD

    Shifted

  • Validating
  • 8,025 posts 758 rep

Posted 19 August 2013 - 03:16 AM

Even without a substantial rise in the levels, we are already seeing the effects.
Several island nations are either under water or will be in just a few years-completely gone.

With just minute rises, we will see damage along the coasts from flooding when it's coupled with
storm surge.

They keep talking "centuries"-imo, more like decades or less.

#3 Phil

Phil

    Activist

  • Veteran Shifter
  • 944 posts 142 rep

Posted 19 August 2013 - 08:31 AM

NOAA says .5 meter or about 20" max by 2100.  17'/1000 years= 1.7'/century, about the same as NOAA's worst case.

#4 Shortpoet-GTD

Shortpoet-GTD

    Shifted

  • Validating
  • 8,025 posts 758 rep

Posted 12 December 2013 - 05:58 AM

A recent survey of the experts show a range of
low end- (if emissions are drastically cut) of 1.3-2 feet
high end- 2.2-4 feet.
With this caveat-
"Most experts on this topic think there's no way to avoid at least some sea-level rise.
Based on the paper above, even cutting cumulative emissions more than 70 percent will still lead to
sea-level rise of 0.4 to 0.6 meters (1.3 to 2 feet) by 2100.
The main choice here may be between "some" and "a lot." "
http://www.washingto...sk-the-experts/

0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users